Global extreme poverty rose in 2020 for the first time in over 20
years as the disruption of the COVID-19 pandemic compounded the
forces of conflict and climate change, which were already slowing
poverty reduction progress. About 100 million additional people
are living in poverty as a result of the pandemic.
Four out of five people below the international poverty line lived
in rural areas.
Half of the poor are children. Women represent a majority
of the poor in most regions and among some age groups. About 70
percent of the global poor aged 15 and older have no schooling or
only some basic education.
Almost half of poor people in Sub-Saharan Africa live in just five
countries: Nigeria, the Democratic Republic of Congo, Tanzania,
Ethiopia, and Madagascar.
More than 40 percent of the global poor live in economies affected
by fragility, conflict and violence, and that number is expected
to rise to 67 percent in the next decade. Those economies have
just 10 percent of the world’s population.
About 132 million of the global poor live in areas with high flood
risk.
Many people who had barely escaped extreme poverty could be forced
back into it by the convergence of COVID-19, conflict, and climate
change.
The
"new poor" probably will:
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Be more urban than the chronic poor.
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Be more engaged in informal services and manufacturing and
less in agriculture.
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Live in congested urban settings and work in the sectors most
affected by lockdowns and mobility restrictions.
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Middle-income countries such as India and Nigeria will be
significantly affected; middle-income countries may be home to
about 80 percent of the new poor.
New research estimates that climate change will drive 68
million to 132 million into poverty by 2030. Climate change is a
particularly acute threat for countries in Sub-Saharan Africa and
South Asia — the regions where most of the global poor are
concentrated. In a number of countries, a large share of the poor
live in areas that are both affected by conflict and facing high
exposure to floods — for example, Nepal, Cameroon, Liberia, and
the Central African Republic.
The newest and most immediate threat to poverty reduction,
COVID-19, has unleashed a worldwide economic disaster whose shock
waves continue to spread. Without an adequate global response, the
cumulative effects of the pandemic and its economic fallout, armed
conflict, and climate change will exact high human and economic
costs well into the future.
The latest research suggests that the effects of the
current crisis will almost certainly be felt in most countries
through 2030. Under these conditions, the goal of bringing the
global absolute poverty rate to less than 3 percent by 2030, which
was already at risk before the crisis, is now beyond reach without
swift, significant, and substantial policy action.
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